WASHINGTON -- Fannie Mae's latest national housing survey finds that most Americans believe the housing market has reached bottom, but they are more cautious about owning a home. Respondents to the Fannie Mae National Housing Survey believe that home prices will hold steady (47 percent) or increase (31 percent) over the next year, and that rental prices will stay the same (46 percent) or go up (39 percent). Across the general population, the average expected rise in rental prices is four times that of home prices (3.6 percent versus 0.9 percent).
Seventy percent of Americans think it is a good time to buy a house, compared with 64 percent in a similar survey conducted inJanuary 2010. But 33 percent -- up from 30 percent -- of all respondents said they would be more likely to rent their next home if they were to move. "Our survey shows that consumers see a mixed outlook for housing and homeownership," said Doug Duncan, Vice President and Chief Economist, Fannie Mae. "These findings indicate a return to a more balanced and realistic approach toward housing. While this will likely weigh on the housing recovery in the near-term, it should, over time, help to build a stronger and healthier market focused on sustainable homeownership." "Although most Americans believe that home prices have bottomed, they are adopting a much more cautious approach toward buying," Duncan continued. "Homeowners and renters alike continue to be wary of taking on risk, and they are less confident in the long-term outlook for housing." A majority of Americans (67 percent) continue to believe that housing is a safe investment; however, that number is down 16 percentage points from a similar survey conducted in 2003 -- the largest drop by far among all investment types tracked since then. Delinquent borrowers and renters are notably more discouraged than mortgage borrowers and underwater borrowers about a home's safety as an investment and the appeal of buying versus renting. More than 70 percent of all respondents believe it will be harder for the next generation to buy a home, up three points from the beginning of the year. The Fannie Mae National Housing Survey polled homeowners and renters between June 2010 and July 2010. Findings were compared to a similar survey conducted by Fannie Mae from December 2009 to January 2010 and released in April 2010, and a similar survey conducted in 2003. OVERVIEW OF KEY FINDINGS Consumers More Confident That Housing Market Has Bottomed, But Less Certain About the Future The survey revealed that Americans are feeling increasingly more confident that the housing market has hit bottom, but they are less certain about the longer-term prospects for homeownership. Consumers Continue to Be Cautious in Housing Decisions The survey showed that consumers are taking on less risk, and are more uncertain about owning versus renting. Views on Homeownership Diverge Among Sub-groups The survey also found that mortgage borrowers and underwater mortgage borrowers are less discouraged about homeownership, but delinquent borrowers and renters are growing more pessimistic. Economic and Housing Attitudes Among Minority Respondents The survey showed a mix of optimism and concern among African-Americans and Hispanics as to how they think about the economy, their financial situations and abilities to obtain a mortgage. Fannie Mae exists to expand affordable housing and bring global capital to local communities in order to serve the U.S. housing market. Fannie Mae has a federal charter and operates in America's secondary mortgage market to enhance the liquidity of the mortgage market by providing funds to mortgage bankers and other lenders so that they may lend to home buyers. Our job is to help those who house America.